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Technical Barriers
This analysis considers the impact of many technical barriers in the Fuel Cell Technologies Program Multi-Year Research, Development and Demonstration Plan, for Fuel Cells (Stationary/Distributed Generation Systems) including:
(B) Cost
Technical Targets
This project provides cost estimates for the manufacture of a 5 kW direct hydrogen backup power fuel cell system to help DOE establish technical targets for stationary fuel cell systems. The analysis will also provide insight into the key areas that require further research and development within the fuel cell system.
Accomplishments
Developed baseline design and component • specification for 5 kW backup power systems; validated with industry input.
Analyzed new technologies and manufacturing • approaches.
Developed manufacturing costs and conducted • sensitivity analysis.
G G G G G
Introduction
Backup power is an emerging market for H-PEMFCs with significant potential to assist in maturing technology for other more significant fuel cell markets. A manufacturing cost analysis is performed to identify the projected costs with higher volumes, main drivers for system cost, and impacts of increasing production volumes on costs.
Approach
There are four steps to our approach: research, system and component design, manufacturing cost analysis, and system redesign. Research is conducted continuously and relevant background information is collected from literature (patents and papers) and through interviews with fuel cell system and component manufacturers.
Research provided input to the system design, component design, technologies in use, current state of development, and expected near-term improvements
V.A.6 Economic Analysis of Stationary PEM Fuel Cell Systems
Mahadevan – Battelle
V.A Fuel Cells / Analysis/Characterization
694
DOE Hydrogen Program
FY 2010 Annual Progress Report
in fuel cell technology. This information was used to determine the preliminary design of the H-PEMFC stack and system for the years of interest (2010, 2012, and 2015). The overall system design was used to design the main components of the system, like the membrane electrode assembly, bipolar plate etc. The system design and configuration was then iterated multiple times based on further input from industry and insights provided by the simultaneous cost analysis. Manufacturing methods were then selected based on the industry practices and considerations for achieving desired durability and costs. These methods were further refined based on feedback from industry and based on cost modeling. Once the system configuration was defined, the system cost was determined. The system cost is comprised of capital equipment, stack production, balance of plant (BOP), and assembly/test costs. Capital equipment and BOP costs are determined using estimates and quotations from vendors of suitable hardware. Whenever possible, multiple vendors were solicited for pricing information to gain confidence in the validity of the costs used in the analysis. The cost of production of the stack and the system assembly and testing was estimated using models developed from the manufacturing process definitions, implemented in the Boothroyd-Dewhurst DFMA™ software.
System Design and Assumptions
An air-cooled system was chosen for the analysis. This is reflective of many commercially available H-PEMFC systems for backup power applications. Compared to a water-cooled system, an air-cooled system offers a reduction in BOP components and advantages in reliability, transport, and durability. An air-cooled system is generally operated at a lower current density than a water-cooled system which in turn requires more membrane active area. Due to equipment limitations, an air-cooled system also is limited on the stack size. The system schematic is shown in Figure 1.
The operational characteristics for the system are listed in Table 1. Stack construction details are summarized in Table 2. Primary changes considered for systems in 2012 and 2015 are an increase in current density, an increase in the membrane utilization, and a decrease in the number of bipolar plates. The increase in current density is expected to come from research advances in membranes and catalysts. The increase in membrane utilization is attributed to improvements in the design and manufacturing capabilities. The reduction in bipolar plates is realized by combining the cathode air and cooling air process streams into a single process air flow and thereby eliminating the need for separate cooling air channels.
Table 1. Stack Operational Characteristics for 2010, 2012, and 2015
2010
2012
2015
Net Power Output
5,000
5,000
5,000
Gross Power Output (W)
7,000
7,000
7,000
Nominal Operating Voltage (VDC)
50
50
50
Stack Temperature (C)
80
80
80
Power Density (W/cm2)
0.455
0.52
0.65
Current Density (A/cm2)
0.7
0.8
1.0
Cell Voltage (VDC)
0.65
0.65
0.65
Active Area Per Cell (cm2)
200
175
140
Overall Membrane Dimensions (cm)
33 x 10
31 x 8.3
25 x 7.1
Overall Membrane Area (cm2)
330
257
178
Membrane Utilization
(Active Area/Total Area)
0.606
0.680
0.789
Battelle approached manufacturing by defining a business model where the fuel cell stack components, stack assembly, system assembly, and test and conditioning are all performed in-house. Doing so means acquiring and operating all necessary machinery as well as buildings and associated infrastructure such as electric distribution, heating and cooling, cleanliness control, lifting and transportation of materials, and storage. System components falling outside the defined core will be purchased or outsourced. As a result, no equipment or facilities are included for production of commercially available off-the-shelf items, such as blowers and pressure regulators, nor are any resources allocated to commercially common processes like metal machining or plastic molding.
Since a transition to high production volumes was anticipated well before the lifetime of the manufacturing equipment, high-volume equipment was identified and used at the outset. The manufacturing processes utilize roll-to-roll style processing (instead of batch processing). This approach results in excess manufacturing capacity initially, but as production volumes increase over time
Figure 1. 2010 System Schematic
695
FY 2010 Annual Progress Report
DOE Hydrogen Program
V.A Fuel Cells / Analysis/Characterization
Mahadevan – Battelle
the capacity is eventually exceeded. More equipment is bought as those limits are reached, phasing the cost of the manufacturing capital expenditures.
Cost estimates were developed for each piece of machinery in the manufacturing process. Quotes were gathered from vendors when possible, from published pricing information, resale listings, internet searches, and by engineering estimate when necessary. The same price was used across the various manufacturing line itemizations if a machine appears in multiple process lines.
Any capital expenditures are amortized over a 20-year period and the annual amortized cost is distributed over production volume for that year. For example, if total capital financing costs in year 1 are $2,000,000 with a production volume of 10,000 units, each unit's price will reflect $200 of capital cost. This approach results in capital costs representing a diminishing portion of the fuel cell system cost with increasing production volume. In all three of the forecast years, manufacturing capital costs are a minority contributor to the overall cost of a fuel cell system.
The cost of production was estimated using models developed from the manufacturing process definitions, implemented in the Boothroyd-Dewhurst DFMA™ software. Standard models for processes or machinery existing in the software were used whenever possible. A custom model was programmed, using fundamental mechanical principles and published machinery specifications or data gathered from vendors,
Table 2. Stack Construction Details for 2010, 2012, and 2015
2010
2012
2015
Number of Cells (#)
77
77
77
Membrane Base Material
PFSA
0.2 mm thick
PTFE Reinforced
PFSA 0.2 mm thick
PTFE Reinforced
PFSA
0.2 mm thick
PTFE Reinforced
Catalyst Loading
Total Loading = 0.4 mg/cm2
Cathode is 2:1 to 4:1 relative to Anode
Total Loading = 0.35 mg/cm2
Total Loading = 0.25 mg/cm2
Catalyst Application
Catalyst ink prepared, rolled on, heat dried
Catalyst ink prepared, rolled on, heat dried
Catalyst ink prepared, rolled on, heat dried
G
DL Base Material
Carbon Paper
0.30 mm thick
Carbon Paper
0.30 mm thick
Carbon Paper
0.30 mm thick
G
DL Construction
Carbon Paper, PTFE coating for water mgmt, carbon/graphite/PTFE microporous layer
Carbon Paper, PTFE coating for water mgmt, carbon/graphite/PTFE microporous layer
Carbon Paper, PTFE coating for water mgmt, carbon/graphite/PTFE microporous layer
MEA Construction
Catalyst applied to membrane, GDL placed on either side, hot press operation to join
Catalyst applied to membrane, GDL placed on either side, hot press operation to join
Catalyst applied to membrane, GDL placed on either side, hot press operation to join
MEA /Bipolar Plate Seal Material
Viton® FKM
0.3 mm thick
Viton® FKM
0.3 mm thick
Viton® FKM
0.3 mm thick
MEA /Bipolar Plate Seal Construction
Injection Molded
Injection Molded
Injection Molded
Number of Bipolar Plates
155
78
78
B
ipolar Plate Material
Composite (Graphite Polymer)
3 mm nominal thickness
Composite (Graphite Polymer)
3 mm nominal thickness
Composite (Graphite Polymer)
- or -
Metal
B
ipolar Plate Details
Anode side has parallel serpentine paths 1 mm wide and 1 mm deep. Cathode has parallel paths 2-3 mm wide and 2 mm deep.
Anode side has parallel serpentine paths 1 mm wide and 1 mm deep. Cathode has parallel paths 2-3 mm wide and 2 mm deep.
Anode side has parallel serpentine paths 1 mm wide and 1 mm deep. Cathode has parallel paths 2-3 mm wide and 2 mm deep.
B
ipolar Plate Construction
Compression molded
Compression molded
Compression molded
- or –
Stamped (metal)
Coolant and End Gaskets
Viton® FKM
Viton® FKM (no coolant gasket)
Viton® FKM (no coolant gasket)
E
nd Plates/Compression System
1" thick die cast aluminum plates with tie rods
1" thick die cast aluminum plates with tie rods
1" thick die cast aluminum plates with tie rods
PFSA - perfluorinated sulfonic acid; PTFE – polytetrafluoroethylene (Teflon®); GDL – gas diffusion layer; MEA – membrane electrode assembly
V.A Fuel Cells / Analysis/Characterization Mahadevan – Battelle
DOE Hydrogen Program 696 FY 2010 Annual Progress Report
when a standard model was not available. Basic cost assumptions are detailed in Table 3.
Table 3. Production Process Assumptions
Parameter
Value
MEA Manufacturing Process
Roll-to-roll
Process line speeds:
Catalyst application
GDL fabrication
MEA hot pressing
10 m/min
5 m/min
0.5 m/min
Roll length
1,000 ft
Membrane roll width
1 m
Carbon cloth width
1 m
Overall plant efficiency
85%
Inspection steps included in processing
None
Labor cost
$45/hr
Machine cost
$25/hr
Energy cost
$0.07/kW-h
Setup operations per roll
1
Operators on membrane line
3
Operators on all other lines
1
Assumptions were developed from previously published information, discussions with vendors, using standard values defined in the software, and by engineering estimates.
Scrap rates for the stack manufacturing processes vary and in some cases represent a tangible portion of the process's cost. As with the manufacturing process definition itself, much of this information is considered proprietary in industry. The values used for the Battelle analysis are representative of ranges documented in previously published information. When such data was not available, engineering estimates were made based on Battelle's manufacturing knowledge. Table 4 delineates the scrap rates, which were held constant over all the forecasted years. These rates capture not only scrap resulting from initial production of material, but also excess material consumed during stack rework as part of test and conditioning.
The remainder of the fuel cell system components, including BOP and structure (frame) and enclosure, are purchased or outsourced. The assembly, integration, testing, and conditioning of all these items are done in-house. Stack assembly and test costs are included in the stack estimate while the cost of system assembly and test is included at that level.
Results
The system cost breakdown and total system costs are shown in Table 5. According to the Battelle analysis, in 2010 with an annual production volume of 2,000 units, cost of a 5 kW H-PEMFC system is $6,986 or $1,379 per kW. This cost declines by 26% to $5,084 or $1,017 per kW in 2012, and by 39% to $4,221 or $844 per kW in 2015. Approximately 60% of the reduction to $844/kW in 2015 is achieved through reduction in costs of the stack components, particularly the bipolar plates and the MEA. The remaining 40% is equally split between reductions in the BOP component cost and the lower assessment of capital costs on a per unit basis. The modest decrease in BOP costs is due to many of them already being produced in high quantities with limited margin for cost reduction. Approximately 50% of the source for reduction in cost for both the 2012 and 2015 cases is due to technology advances while the other half is due to increased production volume.
In general, materials represent the most significant cost of fuel cell stack production, evident in Figure 2. In the case of the bipolar plates; production cost is split more uniformly across all three of tooling, processing, and raw materials. The cost production breakdown is similar for 2012 and 2015.
At initial and low volume production, much of the capacity of the manufacturing equipment goes unused. In some cases, the entire year's worth of production can be run in a few calendar days. However, by business model definition, the equipment purchase at the beginning is justified by the rapidly increasing production quantities over the five year period of study. Despite much of the machinery's production capacity potentially going unused in the first few years, the unused capacity represents, by way of capital costs allocated to each unit, a small portion of the system cost.
Considering line utilization is useful for identifying process bottlenecks. Battelle defined line utilization as a percentage calculated as the number of machine hours necessary to produce the annual quantity divided by the total number of annual machine hours available.
Table 4. Scrap Rates for Production
Scrap/Reject Rates
Catalyst application
30%
GDL fabrication
30%
MEA hot pressing
5%
Slit to width
0.5%
Slit and cut
0.5%
Compression molding - Pre-form
0.5%
Compression molding - Mold
1%
Compression molding - Post bake
1%
Die casting – End plate
0.5%
Die casting - Thread tapping
0.5%
Testing and conditioning
5%
FY 2010 Annual Progress Report 697 DOE Hydrogen Program
Mahadevan – Battelle V.A Fuel Cells / Analysis/Characterization
The annual machine hours available are the number of
machines times 24 hours (3, 8-hour shifts) in a day. The
results of this are tabulated in Table 6.
The bottlenecks in production are identified by
these tables and include the bipolar plate forming,
stack assembly, and test and conditioning. Despite
having limitations to productivity, the system cost
impact of these bottlenecks is mostly low since raw
material costs are the predominant expense in stack
production. Of the group, eliminating the bipolar plate
forming bottleneck will have the most impact on stack
cost. The elimination of the bipolar plate bottleneck
can be achieved by emerging technologies, like flat/
unformed sheet metal or foils. Industry expects test
and conditioning time to decrease significantly over the
next five years, providing a modest opportunity for cost
reduction. |
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